Chernomorets 1-1 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.12/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.91
-4% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Neftekhimik
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2025 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-2 HT 0-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
19.10.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
26.11.2023 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-1 HT 0-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
06.08.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-1 HT 0-1 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chernomorets
1-1
AWAY Neftekhimik
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chernomorets vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets and Neftekhimik couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Chernomorets had 61% of the ball to Neftekhimik's 39%, shots finished 24-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Chernomorets and 0.50 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Neftekhimik?

Chernomorets 1-1 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 39%, draw 28%, Neftekhimik 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chernomorets), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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