Khorfakkan vs Al Ahli FC Dubai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Khorfakkan v Al Ahli FC Dubai — Team-Based Signals
Khorfakkan vs Al Ahli FC Dubai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Khorfakkan
BAE
3-1
HT 2-0
Khorfakkan
BAE
0-1
HT 0-0
Al Ahli FC Dubai
BAE
Khorfakkan 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahli FC Dubai nicked a narrow win over Khorfakkan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Khorfakkan had 31% of the ball to Al Ahli FC Dubai's 69%, shots finished 3-22, expected goals 0.51 to 1.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ahli FC Dubai's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Khorfakkan and 2.33 for Al Ahli FC Dubai.
What was the final score of Khorfakkan vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?
Khorfakkan 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai in the UAE - League on 20/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Khorfakkan vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Khorfakkan 15%, draw 18%, Al Ahli FC Dubai 67%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.