Westerlo 1-1 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 20 Dec 2024

Westerlo
1-1 HT 0-1
Mechelen
📅20/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Westerlo vs Mechelen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.14
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
10%
5.38
X/2
8%
6.54
X/X
15%
5.27
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.3
2/2
12%
4.13
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.3 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Westerlo v Mechelen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.73/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.48
+6% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
21.3 Crosses 16.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Westerlo vs Mechelen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Mechelen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.77 xG 2.07
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
372 Passes 417
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.08.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 2-4 HT 0-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
18.05.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 0-2 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
13.04.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 3-2 HT 0-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
08.03.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 3-1 HT 2-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
26.08.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 2-3 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
28.01.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 2-0 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL

Westerlo 1-1 Mechelen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
1-1
AWAY Mechelen
1.60 xG 1.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 17
304 Passes 309
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo and Mechelen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Westerlo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Westerlo had 49% of the ball to Mechelen's 51%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.60 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Westerlo and 2.17 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Mechelen?

Westerlo 1-1 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 44%, draw 29%, Mechelen 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Westerlo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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