Dordrecht 3-3 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Dec 2024

Dordrecht
3-3 HT 1-1
FC Eindhoven
📅20/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Dordrecht vs FC Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.33
Over 2.5
65%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.53
No
36%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.59
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
2.67
6+ Goals
16%
7.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.67 — our 31% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.48
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
11%
4.61
X/2
12%
7.95
X/X
9%
5.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
21.1
2/2
11%
5.24
2/X
6%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 14% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
39%
-4.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
61%
+4.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
61%
+3.2pp
36%
BTTS No
39%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dordrecht v FC Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
1.94/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.10
+28% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.6 Crosses 16.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Dordrecht vs FC Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
1W-4D-1L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.89 xG 1.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 Passes 328
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.09.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
15.03.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
29.09.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
03.02.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
30.09.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
01.04.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2

Dordrecht 3-3 FC Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
3-3
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.35 xG 0.79
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
322 Passes 229
73% Pass Accuracy 65%
32 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht and FC Eindhoven couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dordrecht at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Dordrecht had 56% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 44%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.35 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dordrecht and 0.50 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs FC Eindhoven?

Dordrecht 3-3 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 44%, draw 24%, FC Eindhoven 32%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dordrecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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