Emmen 0-3 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Dec 2024

📅20/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.66
6+ Goals
13%
6.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.95
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.75
X/1
11%
4.01
X/2
10%
11.15
X/X
9%
6.56
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.35
2/2
12%
7.84
2/X
9%
16.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.35 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-11.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+9.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 22%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.45/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.63
-16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
452 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
24.3 Crosses 17.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.29 xG 0.71
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
435 Passes 259
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
02.08.2024 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HAZ
03.05.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
10.11.2023 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
08.01.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
24.09.2021 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
0-3
AWAY Den Bosch
0.83 xG 1.11
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
456 Passes 189
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Emmen vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch ran out comfortable winners over Emmen 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Emmen at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Emmen had 66% of the ball to Den Bosch's 34%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.83 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Emmen and 0.33 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Emmen vs Den Bosch?

Emmen 0-3 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Emmen 49%, draw 23%, Den Bosch 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Emmen), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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