Aluminium Arak 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 20 Dec 2024

📅20/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
37%
2.77
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
1.33
Over 2.5
23%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.67
No
69%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
52%
1.67
2-3 Goals
31%
1.87
4-5 Goals
12%
8.06
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
26%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.1pp
37%
Draw
32%
+4.5pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-9.6pp
77%
Under 2.5
72%
+4.9pp
23%
Over 2.5
28%
-4.9pp
31%
BTTS Yes
33%
-2.0pp
69%
BTTS No
67%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
0.56/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.48
-22% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +34%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminium Arak
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.08.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
12.04.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
21.02.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 HT 0-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
27.10.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
15.08.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
07.04.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak and Esteghlal Khuzestan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 37% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (77%) landed while no to both teams scoring (69%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aluminium Arak and 1.00 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Aluminium Arak 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aluminium Arak 28%, draw 37%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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