Stenhousemuir 1-0 Inverness CT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.75
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.91
2-3 Goals
47%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
6%
16.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
23%
-4.6pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.7pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.6pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 55%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.03/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.54
-9% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +85%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Inverness CT
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
1 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-2 HT 1-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
19.04.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
11.03.2025 Inverness CT Inverness CT 4-1 HT 2-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
21.12.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
28.09.2024 Inverness CT Inverness CT 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
25.09.2012 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-1 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKLK
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir squeezed past Inverness CT 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Inverness CT at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inverness CT led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stenhousemuir and 1.33 for Inverness CT.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

Stenhousemuir 1-0 Inverness CT in the Scotland - 1st Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 19%, draw 35%, Inverness CT 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Inverness CT), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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