Hamilton 1-0 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.6pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 38%
+15% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
2.12/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.21
+40% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
156 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 186 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
6 Corners 1
23.08.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
11.05.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 3-2 HT 2-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
07.05.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-2 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
24.02.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 1-2 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
09.12.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
16.09.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton nicked a narrow win over Alloa Athletic 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Hamilton made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hamilton and 1.33 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Alloa Athletic?

Hamilton 1-0 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 40%, draw 24%, Alloa Athletic 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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