Ross County 0-2 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.03
2-3 Goals
35%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 30% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.1
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
10%
4.96
X/2
9%
6.68
X/X
14%
4.65
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
19%
4.89
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.85/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.13
+25% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.4 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Arbroath
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
01.11.2025 Arbroath Arbroath 3-0 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
06.09.2025 Ross County Ross County 1-2 HT 0-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
13.10.2020 Ross County Ross County 2-1 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKLK
25.07.2018 Arbroath Arbroath 4-1 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKLK
29.07.2017 Arbroath Arbroath 0-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKLK
26.04.2003 Ross County Ross County 3-1 HT 2-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath saw off Ross County 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Arbroath found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arbroath led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ross County and 1.83 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Arbroath?

Ross County 0-2 Arbroath in the Scotland - Championship on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ross County 39%, draw 26%, Arbroath 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ross County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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