St. Johnstone 5-0 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.51
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 30% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.74
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
9%
18.05
X/1
16%
3.85
X/2
6%
14.25
X/X
12%
6.18
2/1
7%
23.55
2/2
7%
12.45
2/X
6%
20.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.3pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
0.98/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.35
-47% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 2.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Greenock Morton
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
25.10.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-4 HT 0-4 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKCL
30.08.2025 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
20.07.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-0 HT 2-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKLK
18.01.2020 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 3-0 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKK
09.07.2019 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-3 HT 0-2 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone HAZ
27.10.2015 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-3 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKLK
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone cruised past Greenock Morton 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for St. Johnstone and 0.67 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Greenock Morton?

St. Johnstone 5-0 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 57%, draw 27%, Greenock Morton 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKCL More Scotland - Championship
20 Dec 2025
18:00 Ross County vs Arbroath Analysis →
18:00 Airdrieonians vs Queens Park Analysis →
18:00 Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United Analysis →
18:00 Partick Thistle vs Raith Rovers Analysis →