Dunfermline Athletic 2-3 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.43
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.88
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
17%
5.37
X/2
11%
5.65
X/X
17%
4.04
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
8%
4.2
2/X
9%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.1pp
35%
Draw
29%
+5.9pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.0pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.33/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.33
-16% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
263 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 69%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
12.2 Crosses 9.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ayr United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
31.10.2025 Ayr United Ayr United 0-1 HT 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
23.09.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
29.03.2025 Ayr United Ayr United 3-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
14.01.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
23.11.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
31.08.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United edged past Dunfermline Athletic 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 35% / 29% — and on the day Ayr United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 1.33 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United?

Dunfermline Athletic 2-3 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 36%, draw 35%, Ayr United 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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