Ayr United 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 31 Oct 2025

📅31/10/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.6
Over 2.5
53%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.03
No
44%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.52
6+ Goals
13%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.88
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.95
X/1
20%
4.35
X/2
9%
6.98
X/X
8%
4.16
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
11%
5.88
2/X
8%
15.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
59%
-11.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
41%
+11.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
45%
+10.4pp
44%
BTTS No
55%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -21%
0.60/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.87
+3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
378 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 62%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
27.0 Crosses 5.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Corners 8
23.09.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
29.03.2025 Ayr United Ayr United 3-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
14.01.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
23.11.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
31.08.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
02.03.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic edged past Ayr United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ayr United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ayr United and 0.50 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Ayr United 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 31/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 50%, draw 23%, Dunfermline Athletic 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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