Barnet 1-3 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.66
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.67
X/2
11%
7.63
X/X
10%
5.09
2/1
7%
23.55
2/2
15%
5.65
2/X
7%
14.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 30%
-14% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -2%
1.28/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.36
-35% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 70%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
24.8 Crosses 17.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Salford City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
23.03.2019 Salford City Salford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
30.10.2018 Barnet Barnet 1-3 HT 1-1 Salford City Salford City İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
1-3
AWAY Salford City
1.52 xG 1.02
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
323 Passes 108
72% Pass Accuracy 48%
29 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City beat Barnet 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Barnet at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Barnet had 67% of the ball to Salford City's 33%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.52 to 1.02 — the balance of chances actually favoured Barnet.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Salford City led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Barnet and 1.50 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Salford City?

Barnet 1-3 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Barnet 42%, draw 24%, Salford City 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barnet) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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