Fleetwood Town 2-1 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.46
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
10%
5.28
X/2
12%
6.12
X/X
11%
4.55
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
15%
4.34
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.48/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.32
+6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
17.0 Crosses 20.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Gillingham
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.15 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
254 Passes 213
65% Pass Accuracy 63%
16 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2025 Gillingham Gillingham 1-2 HT 1-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN2
24.08.2024 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
18.04.2022 Gillingham Gillingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
11.12.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
09.03.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
24.10.2020 Gillingham Gillingham 0-2 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
2-1
AWAY Gillingham
2.64 xG 0.96
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
214 Passes 116
69% Pass Accuracy 52%
26 Box Touches 18
36 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town edged past Gillingham 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Fleetwood Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 59% of the ball to Gillingham's 41%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 2.64 to 0.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fleetwood Town's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fleetwood Town and 0.33 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham?

Fleetwood Town 2-1 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 39%, draw 26%, Gillingham 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fleetwood Town), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✓ BTTS Yes
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