Oldham Athletic 3-1 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 30% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.98
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
13%
4.89
X/2
8%
6.91
X/X
15%
4.7
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
14%
5.1
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 32%
-29% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.06/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.39
-29% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
364 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
26.3 Crosses 18.2
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.13 xG 1.64
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
216 Passes 262
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-2 HT 1-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic FAK
30.04.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
07.12.2021 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
09.11.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-2 HT 1-2 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İNTK
10.08.2021 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-2 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İNLK
20.02.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
3-1
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
2.27 xG 1.49
36% Ball Possession 64%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
117 Passes 310
51% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic saw off Tranmere Rovers 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oldham Athletic as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 36% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 64%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 2.27 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oldham Athletic and 1.83 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Tranmere Rovers?

Oldham Athletic 3-1 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 45%, draw 27%, Tranmere Rovers 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oldham Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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