Swindon Town vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Swindon Town v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals
Swindon Town vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
6-0
HT 1-0
Crawley Town
İN2
2-1
HT 2-0
Crawley Town
İN2
2-0
HT 0-0
Swindon Town
İN2
3-1
HT 1-0
Swindon Town
İN2
Swindon Town 1-0 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics
Swindon Town squeezed past Crawley Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Swindon Town as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Swindon Town had 40% of the ball to Crawley Town's 60%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 1.20 to 1.81 — on chances, Crawley Town could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crawley Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Swindon Town and 2.17 for Crawley Town.
What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Crawley Town?
Swindon Town 1-0 Crawley Town in the England - 2nd Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Swindon Town vs Crawley Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 59%, draw 19%, Crawley Town 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swindon Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.