Juventus vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Juventus v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Juventus vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Juventus 2-1 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Juventus found just enough to beat Roma 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both. At 1.67 (~60%), the under-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
The match data tells the story: Roma saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.55 to 1.43.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Juventus against 0.67 for Roma.
Juventus vs Roma Result & Final Score
Juventus 2-1 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Juventus vs Roma Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Juventus 48%, draw 28%, Roma 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.