Canberra United (K) 1-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 20 Dec 2025

Canberra United (K)
1-1 HT 0-0
Central Coast Mariners (K)
📅20/12/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Canberra United (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Canberra United (K) v Central Coast Mariners (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.54/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.42
+5% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
17.9 Crosses 13.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Canberra United (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.40 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
264 Passes 344
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
08.02.2025 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
30.11.2024 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
17.03.2024 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 4-1 HT 4-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW

Canberra United (K) 1-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
1-1
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
0.98 xG 0.18
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
265 Passes 188
69% Pass Accuracy 61%
17 Box Touches 3
19 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) and Central Coast Mariners (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Canberra United (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 56% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 44%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.98 to 0.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Canberra United (K) and 2.33 for Central Coast Mariners (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Canberra United (K) 1-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 44%, draw 25%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Canberra United (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Canberra United (K)) ✓ BTTS Yes
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