Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 SV Zulte Waregem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 20 Dec 2025

Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0 HT 1-0
SV Zulte Waregem
📅20/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Union Saint-Gilloise vs SV Zulte Waregem Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
21%
4.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
15%
7.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.55 — our 21% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.54
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
19.6
X/1 EV+ ✗
28%
3.92
X/2
3%
18.1
X/X
8%
7.49
2/1
9%
22.25
2/2
4%
15.45
2/X
4%
23.1
Value flag · X/1 at 3.92 — our 28% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Union Saint-Gilloise win — 72% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
72%
+0.2pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.3pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Saint-Gilloise v SV Zulte Waregem — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
2.15/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.99
+1% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
19.8 Crosses 16.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Union Saint-Gilloise vs SV Zulte Waregem Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
6W-0D-0L
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.51 xG 0.88
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
365 Passes 309
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.12.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 0-1 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEK
01.11.2025 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-4 HT 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
05.02.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 4-0 HT 1-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
04.09.2022 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-3 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
15.12.2021 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 0-2 HT 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
18.09.2021 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 0-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 SV Zulte Waregem — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
1.26 xG 0.93
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
287 Passes 432
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs SV Zulte Waregem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise saw off SV Zulte Waregem 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 42% of the ball to SV Zulte Waregem's 58%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.26 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.67 for SV Zulte Waregem.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 SV Zulte Waregem in the Belgium - Pro League on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 72%, draw 17%, SV Zulte Waregem 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5
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