Dender EH 0-1 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.67
Over 2.5
32%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.67
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
14%
4.23
6+ Goals
6%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.29
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
14%
13.15
X/1
9%
5.06
X/2
11%
6.65
X/X
14%
4.07
2/1
4%
29.5
2/2
17%
5.03
2/X
3%
13.7
Value flag · 1/X at 13.15 — our 14% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
56%
+11.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
44%
-11.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.6pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.55/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.44
+5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 75%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.8 Crosses 15.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Standard Liege
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 1.36
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
422 Passes 298
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 3-2 HT 2-2 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEK
02.08.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
17.05.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
13.04.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 1-1 HT 1-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
26.01.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-0 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
13.09.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 0-2 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
0-1
AWAY Standard Liege
1.54 xG 0.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 Passes 201
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 11
31 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege nicked a narrow win over Dender EH 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Standard Liege made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Dender EH had 59% of the ball to Standard Liege's 41%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.54 to 0.75 — the balance of chances actually favoured Dender EH.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Standard Liege led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dender EH and 1.17 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Standard Liege?

Dender EH 0-1 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dender EH win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 36%, draw 30%, Standard Liege 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dender EH) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dender EH) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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