Kızılyıldız 4-0 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.11
Draw
10%
8.78
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
4.58
Over 2.5
67%
1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
2%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
82%
Home Win
85%
-3.5pp
11%
Draw
8%
+2.2pp
8%
Away Win
6%
+1.4pp
33%
Under 2.5
18%
+14.7pp
67%
Over 2.5
82%
-14.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
2.84/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.32
+51% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
452 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
43.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
27.3 Crosses 12.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.80 xG 0.50
69% Ball Possession 31%
26 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 1
496 Passes 197
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
54 Box Touches 9
45 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.08.2025 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-4 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
24.05.2025 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-1 HT 2-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
30.11.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-2 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
27.07.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-2 HT 0-2 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
08.05.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-1 HT 0-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
09.12.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-1 HT 1-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
4-0
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.78 xG 0.43
74% Ball Possession 26%
25 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
608 Passes 156
90% Pass Accuracy 68%
44 Box Touches 5
25 Crosses 3
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız cruised past Mladost Lucani 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 82%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 74% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 26%, shots finished 25-2, expected goals 1.78 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kızılyıldız and 0.83 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Mladost Lucani?

Kızılyıldız 4-0 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 82%, draw 11%, Mladost Lucani 8%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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