Terrassa 1-0 Lleida Esportiu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.7pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Terrassa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lleida Esportiu EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
1.77/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.17
+63% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Terrassa
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Lleida Esportiu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2023 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 3-2 HT 1-1 Terrassa Terrassa İS4
05.03.2023 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 0-0 HT 0-0 Terrassa Terrassa İS4
16.10.2022 Terrassa Terrassa 1-1 HT 1-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
10.04.2022 Terrassa Terrassa 1-2 HT 1-2 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
21.11.2021 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 0-1 HT 0-1 Terrassa Terrassa İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Terrassa
1-0
AWAY Lleida Esportiu
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Terrassa vs Lleida Esportiu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Terrassa nicked a narrow win over Lleida Esportiu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Terrassa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Terrassa had 47% of the ball to Lleida Esportiu's 53%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lleida Esportiu led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Terrassa and 1.20 for Lleida Esportiu.

What was the final score of Terrassa vs Lleida Esportiu?

Terrassa 1-0 Lleida Esportiu in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Terrassa vs Lleida Esportiu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lleida Esportiu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Terrassa 35%, draw 29%, Lleida Esportiu 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lleida Esportiu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lleida Esportiu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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