UD Alzira 1-1 Badalona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
41%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.8pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+7.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Alzira EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.30/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.18
+19% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
269 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Alzira
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Badalona
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Badalona Badalona 1-0 HT 0-0 UD Alzira UD Alzira İS4
22.01.2023 UD Alzira UD Alzira 1-0 HT 0-0 Badalona Badalona İS4
04.09.2022 Badalona Badalona 1-0 HT 0-0 UD Alzira UD Alzira İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Alzira
1-1
AWAY Badalona
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD Alzira vs Badalona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Alzira and Badalona shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Badalona at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UD Alzira had 54% of the ball to Badalona's 46%, shots finished 5-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Badalona led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for UD Alzira and 0.67 for Badalona.

What was the final score of UD Alzira vs Badalona?

UD Alzira 1-1 Badalona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Alzira vs Badalona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Badalona win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split UD Alzira 32%, draw 26%, Badalona 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Badalona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Badalona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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