21/01/2024
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Zamora CF vs Covadonga Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
23%
Draw
20%
15%
Away Win
9%
54%
Under 2.5
52%
46%
Over 2.5
48%
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
57%
BTTS No
66%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zamora CF v Covadonga — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Zamora CF
EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY
Covadonga
EU Bookmakers 12%
-17% /
-17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-6% /
-6%
1.12/0.82
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.65/1.64
-46%
/
-12%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-11%
/
+8%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
377 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
260 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.1
Yellow Cards
1.7
Zamora CF vs Covadonga Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Zamora CF
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Covadonga
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
46%
Ball Possession
54%
7
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Target
2
2
Corners
2
3
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
10.09.2023
Covadonga
0-2
HT 0-1
Zamora CF
İS4
0-2
HT 0-1
Zamora CF
İS4
POST-MATCH
Zamora CF vs Covadonga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Zamora CF beat Covadonga 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zamora CF as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Zamora CF vs Covadonga?
Zamora CF 2-0 Covadonga in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zamora CF vs Covadonga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zamora CF win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Zamora CF 62%, draw 23%, Covadonga 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamora CF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Zamora CF)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
21 Jan 2024