Zamora CF 2-0 Covadonga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.6
No
57%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-8.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
66%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora CF EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Covadonga EU Bookmakers 12%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.12/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.64
-46% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora CF
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Covadonga
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2023 Covadonga Covadonga 0-2 HT 0-1 Zamora CF Zamora CF İS4
POST-MATCH Zamora CF vs Covadonga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora CF beat Covadonga 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zamora CF as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Zamora CF vs Covadonga?

Zamora CF 2-0 Covadonga in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora CF vs Covadonga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamora CF win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Zamora CF 62%, draw 23%, Covadonga 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamora CF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zamora CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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