Afragolese 0-2 Città Di Sant Agata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
7.95
Draw
23%
7.13
Away
52%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over Pick
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
42%
4-5
28%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
25%
Home Win
10%
+15.7pp
23%
Draw
11%
+11.8pp
52%
Away Win
79%
-27.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afragolese The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Città Di Sant Agata The Market 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
230 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Afragolese vs Città Di Sant Agata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Città Di Sant Agata got the better of Afragolese 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Città Di Sant Agata as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Afragolese vs Città Di Sant Agata?

Afragolese 0-2 Città Di Sant Agata in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afragolese vs Città Di Sant Agata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Città Di Sant Agata win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Afragolese 25%, draw 23%, Città Di Sant Agata 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Città Di Sant Agata) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Città Di Sant Agata) ✗ Over 2.5
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