Folgore Caratese 2-2 Pontisola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
37%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Folgore Caratese The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontisola The Market 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Folgore Caratese
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Pontisola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
24.09.2023 Pontisola 1-1 HT 0-1 Folgore Caratese İTD
POST-MATCH Folgore Caratese vs Pontisola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Folgore Caratese and Pontisola shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Folgore Caratese at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Folgore Caratese vs Pontisola?

Folgore Caratese 2-2 Pontisola in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Folgore Caratese vs Pontisola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Folgore Caratese win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Folgore Caratese 41%, draw 27%, Pontisola 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Folgore Caratese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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