Aurora vs Universidad San Carlos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aurora v Universidad San Carlos — Team-Based Signals
Aurora 2-2 Universidad San Carlos — Actual Match Statistics
Aurora and Universidad San Carlos couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aurora had 38% of the ball to Universidad San Carlos's 62%, shots finished 6-10.
What was the final score of Aurora vs Universidad San Carlos?
Aurora 2-2 Universidad San Carlos in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aurora vs Universidad San Carlos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aurora 36%, draw 33%, Universidad San Carlos 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.