Middlesbrough 2-0 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 21 Jan 2025

Middlesbrough
2-0 HT 1-0
West Bromwich
📅21/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
60%
1.95
Over 2.5
40%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.28
6+ Goals
8%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 36% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.46
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
12%
4.51
X/2
10%
8.23
X/X
14%
4.94
2/1
11%
23.4
2/2
9%
6.24
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.5pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middlesbrough v West Bromwich — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.55/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.34
-18% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.3 Crosses 15.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middlesbrough
3W-1D-2L
AWAY West Bromwich
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.49 xG 0.97
55% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
440 Passes 371
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2024 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-1 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
23.12.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-0 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
26.08.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 4-2 HT 2-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
25.02.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-0 HT 2-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
30.07.2022 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-1 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
22.02.2022 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2-1 HT 0-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL

Middlesbrough 2-0 West Bromwich — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough
2-0
AWAY West Bromwich
0.95 xG 0.96
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
352 Passes 500
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough got the better of West Bromwich 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Middlesbrough as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Middlesbrough had 42% of the ball to West Bromwich's 58%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.95 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.33 for West Bromwich.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich?

Middlesbrough 2-0 West Bromwich in the England - Championship on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 44%, draw 28%, West Bromwich 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Middlesbrough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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