Swansea City 1-2 Sheffield United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 21 Jan 2025

Swansea City
1-2 HT 1-0
Sheffield United
📅21/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Swansea City vs Sheffield United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.88
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
19%
5.52
X/2
12%
5.61
X/X
10%
4.09
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
16%
3.99
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swansea City v Sheffield United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +24%
1.29/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.12
-18% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
18.9 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Swansea City vs Sheffield United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sheffield United
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.81 xG 1.45
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
445 Passes 297
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.10.2024 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-0 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
11.02.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 3-0 HT 2-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
13.09.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 0-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
19.02.2022 Sheffield United Sheffield United 4-0 HT 3-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
14.08.2021 Swansea City Swansea City 0-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
19.01.2019 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL

Swansea City 1-2 Sheffield United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
1-2
AWAY Sheffield United
1.42 xG 1.84
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
342 Passes 261
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Sheffield United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield United nicked a narrow win over Swansea City 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Sheffield United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Swansea City had 56% of the ball to Sheffield United's 44%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.42 to 1.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sheffield United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Swansea City and 1.50 for Sheffield United.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Sheffield United?

Swansea City 1-2 Sheffield United in the England - Championship on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Sheffield United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 38%, draw 27%, Sheffield United 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Swansea City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
21 Jan 2025
22:45 Watford vs Preston North End Analysis →
22:45 Oxford United vs Luton Town Analysis →
22:45 Blackburn Rovers vs Coventry Analysis →
22:45 Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Analysis →
22:45 Hull City vs Queens Park Rangers Analysis →
22:45 Derby County vs Sunderland Analysis →