Gold Coast Knights 3-1 Queensland Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.38
No
46%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-3.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.8pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 46%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.60/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.05
+48% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses 10.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Queensland Lions
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.02 xG 1.45
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
280 Passes 273
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-1 HT 0-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
18.08.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 5-0 HT 1-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
18.05.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-1 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
13.08.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 1-1 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
06.05.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
26.06.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 1-1 HT 1-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Queensland Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights beat Queensland Lions 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gold Coast Knights found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gold Coast Knights and 0.83 for Queensland Lions.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Queensland Lions?

Gold Coast Knights 3-1 Queensland Lions in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Queensland Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 34%, draw 27%, Queensland Lions 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Queensland Lions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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