Jablonec vs Karvina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Jablonec v Karvina — Team-Based Signals
Jablonec vs Karvina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Jablonec 1-0 Karvina — Actual Match Statistics
Jablonec edged past Karvina 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Jablonec had 45% of the ball to Karvina's 55%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 3.17 to 1.69 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Jablonec's control.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Jablonec and 0.83 for Karvina.
Jablonec vs Karvina Result & Final Score
Jablonec 1 - 0 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Jablonec vs Karvina Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 51%, draw 25%, Karvina 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.