Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Arbroath v Dunfermline Athletic — Team-Based Signals
Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Arbroath got the better of Dunfermline Athletic 4-2. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arbroath as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunfermline Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Arbroath against 2.67 for Dunfermline Athletic.
Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic Result & Final Score
Arbroath 4 - 2 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 41%, draw 31%, Dunfermline Athletic 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arbroath), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.