Almeria 2-1 Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Feb 2026

Almeria
2-1 HT 2-0
Cordoba
📅21/02/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Almeria vs Cordoba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
8.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.85
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
8%
11.9
X/1
14%
5.22
X/2
9%
7.14
X/X
17%
5.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.25
2/2
17%
4.64
2/X
5%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.4pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almeria v Cordoba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cordoba EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +9%
1.43/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.32
+4% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
19.8 Crosses 19.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2

Almeria vs Cordoba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cordoba
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.42 xG 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
256 Passes 239
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.10.2025 Cordoba Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-1 Almeria Almeria İS2
12.01.2025 Cordoba Cordoba 0-3 HT 0-1 Almeria Almeria İS2
26.11.2024 Almeria Almeria 4-0 HT 0-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
24.02.2019 Almeria Almeria 3-1 HT 1-1 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
06.10.2018 Cordoba Cordoba 1-0 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
20.05.2018 Cordoba Cordoba 2-0 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS2

Almeria 2-1 Cordoba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria
2-1
AWAY Cordoba
1.57 xG 1.02
30% Ball Possession 70%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
144 Passes 409
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Almeria vs Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria edged past Cordoba 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Almeria made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Almeria had 30% of the ball to Cordoba's 70%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.57 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Almeria and 0.83 for Cordoba.

What was the final score of Almeria vs Cordoba?

Almeria 2-1 Cordoba in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria vs Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Almeria 38%, draw 30%, Cordoba 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almeria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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