Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
4.49
6+ Goals
7%
24.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.45 — our 38% vs market 33.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.62
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
20%
4.27
X/2
9%
7.88
X/X
17%
4.01
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
13%
6.71
2/X
6%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.1pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -14%
1.35/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.24
-25% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
18.8 Crosses 17.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Eibar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.45 xG 0.98
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
262 Passes 386
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
02.02.2025 Eibar Eibar 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
11.11.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
03.03.2018 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS1
15.10.2017 Eibar Eibar 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1
28.01.2017 Eibar Eibar 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
1-0
AWAY Eibar
1.76 xG 0.87
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
329 Passes 418
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna edged past Eibar 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo La Coruna as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 45% of the ball to Eibar's 55%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.76 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 0.83 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Eibar?

Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 43%, draw 29%, Eibar 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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