Las Palmas 1-1 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Feb 2026

Las Palmas
1-1 HT 1-0
CD Castellon
📅21/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Las Palmas vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.74
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.96
6+ Goals
10%
18.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 36% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.71
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
14%
5.44
X/2
17%
5.79
X/X
17%
4.11
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
13%
4.09
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Las Palmas v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
1.24/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.30
+12% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +49%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
14.8 Crosses 15.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Las Palmas vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CD Castellon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.78 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
371 Passes 342
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.11.2025 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
27.02.2021 CD Castellon CD Castellon 4-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
21.10.2020 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-1 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
17.12.2019 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-2 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İSPK
24.04.2010 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
21.11.2009 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-2 HT 1-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2

Las Palmas 1-1 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
1-1
AWAY CD Castellon
1.17 xG 2.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
282 Passes 378
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas and CD Castellon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Las Palmas had 44% of the ball to CD Castellon's 56%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.17 to 2.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Castellon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Las Palmas and 1.67 for CD Castellon.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs CD Castellon?

Las Palmas 1-1 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 34%, draw 30%, CD Castellon 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Castellon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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