CD Castellon vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CD Castellon v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals
CD Castellon vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Las Palmas
İS2
2-1
HT 0-0
CD Castellon
İS2
0-2
HT 0-0
Las Palmas
İSPK
2-0
HT 1-0
Las Palmas
İS2
2-2
HT 1-1
CD Castellon
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
CD Castellon
İS2
CD Castellon 1-0 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics
CD Castellon edged past Las Palmas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Castellon as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, CD Castellon had 45% of the ball to Las Palmas's 55%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.63 to 0.69.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Palmas led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Castellon and 1.17 for Las Palmas.
What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Las Palmas?
CD Castellon 1-0 Las Palmas in the Spain - 2nd Division on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Las Palmas?
Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 48%, draw 21%, Las Palmas 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.