Mirandes 1-0 Real Sociedad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.22
6+ Goals
12%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.88
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
18%
4.69
X/2
11%
7.48
X/X
9%
4.15
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
12%
5.95
2/X
7%
14.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirandes EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.58/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.16
+24% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
255 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.5 Crosses 16.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirandes
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Sociedad II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.54 xG 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 Passes 364
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.03.2022 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 1-3 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
13.12.2021 Mirandes Mirandes 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirandes
1-0
AWAY Real Sociedad II
1.06 xG 0.81
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
355 Passes 243
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mirandes vs Real Sociedad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirandes edged past Real Sociedad II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mirandes as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Mirandes had 56% of the ball to Real Sociedad II's 44%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.06 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mirandes had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Mirandes and 0.50 for Real Sociedad II.

What was the final score of Mirandes vs Real Sociedad II?

Mirandes 1-0 Real Sociedad II in the Spain - 2nd Division on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Real Sociedad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirandes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 46%, draw 23%, Real Sociedad II 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirandes) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mirandes) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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