Racing Santander 4-0 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
12%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 27% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.83
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
21%
4.82
X/2
9%
7.3
X/X
13%
4.84
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
14%
5.36
2/X
5%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.70/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.29
+10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
17.1 Crosses 18.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Eibar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.51 xG 1.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 Passes 372
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Eibar Eibar 2-2 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
23.08.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-2 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
27.07.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar HAZ
12.01.2024 Eibar Eibar 2-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
12.08.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 4-0 HT 3-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
14.05.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
4-0
AWAY Eibar
1.22 xG 0.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
388 Passes 328
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 18
5 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander swept aside Eibar 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Racing Santander as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Racing Santander had 53% of the ball to Eibar's 47%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.22 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Santander had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Racing Santander and 1.00 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Eibar?

Racing Santander 4-0 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 49%, draw 22%, Eibar 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
30 Nov 2025
16:00 Real Zaragoza vs Leganes Analysis →
20:30 Cordoba vs Cadiz Analysis →
20:30 Mirandes vs Real Sociedad II Analysis →
23:00 CD Castellon vs Las Palmas Analysis →