Real Zaragoza 3-2 Leganes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.35
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.08
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
14%
5.45
X/2
14%
5.7
X/X
20%
3.59
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
15%
4.37
2/X
5%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.9pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Leganes EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.14/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.04
-1% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.1 Crosses 19.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Leganes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.21 xG 0.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
320 Passes 294
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Leganes Leganes 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
02.12.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
12.03.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 3-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
19.12.2022 Leganes Leganes 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
11.02.2022 Leganes Leganes 2-1 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
22.11.2021 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-2 HT 0-1 Leganes Leganes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
3-2
AWAY Leganes
2.34 xG 1.55
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
457 Passes 221
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Leganes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza edged past Leganes 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Real Zaragoza made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 63% of the ball to Leganes's 37%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 2.34 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leganes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Zaragoza and 1.17 for Leganes.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Leganes?

Real Zaragoza 3-2 Leganes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Leganes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 34%, draw 31%, Leganes 35%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leganes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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