Eibar 2-2 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.78
6+ Goals
12%
16.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.69
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
11%
4.51
X/2
11%
7.55
X/X
12%
4.47
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.93
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +31%
1.31/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.34
+1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
22.9 Crosses 12.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.41
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
415 Passes 244
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-2 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
27.07.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar HAZ
12.01.2024 Eibar Eibar 2-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
12.08.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 4-0 HT 3-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
14.05.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
25.09.2022 Eibar Eibar 2-1 HT 2-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
2-2
AWAY Racing Santander
0.92 xG 1.21
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
247 Passes 440
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar and Racing Santander couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Eibar at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Eibar had 40% of the ball to Racing Santander's 60%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.92 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eibar and 1.33 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Racing Santander?

Eibar 2-2 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Eibar 44%, draw 26%, Racing Santander 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eibar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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