Burgos vs Real Oviedo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burgos v Real Oviedo — Team-Based Signals
Burgos vs Real Oviedo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Real Oviedo
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Real Oviedo
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Burgos
HAZ
Burgos 1-2 Real Oviedo — Actual Match Statistics
Real Oviedo edged past Burgos 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (31% / 35% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Oviedo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Burgos had 61% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 39%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.31 to 0.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burgos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Burgos and 1.33 for Real Oviedo.
What was the final score of Burgos vs Real Oviedo?
Burgos 1-2 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burgos vs Real Oviedo?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Burgos 31%, draw 35%, Real Oviedo 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.