Novara 3-1 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.48
Over
36%
2.3
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.12
No
55%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.12
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
15%
5.16
6+
2%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Novara The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio The Market 32%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.44 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.84
1.08 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Great
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
1W-4D-1L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2025 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-0 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
09.03.2025 Novara Novara 0-1 HT 0-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
25.10.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-2 HT 1-2 Novara Novara İTC
03.02.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-1 Novara Novara İTC
24.09.2023 Novara Novara 1-1 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
03.02.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-2 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
3 - 1
AWAY GIANA Erminio
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Novara vs GIANA Erminio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Novara got the better of GIANA Erminio 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Novara made the difference. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Novara had 62% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 38%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Novara and 1.00 for GIANA Erminio.

Novara vs GIANA Erminio Result & Final Score

Novara 3 - 1 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Novara vs GIANA Erminio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Novara 40%, draw 32%, GIANA Erminio 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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