Novara 0-1 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.52
Over
43%
2.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.0
No
51%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.2
2-3
42%
1.73
4-5
19%
4.94
6+
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Novara The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio The Market 34%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.24 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.72
1.45 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.86
Average Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Great
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
2W-3D-1L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-2 HT 1-2 Novara Novara İTC
03.02.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-1 Novara Novara İTC
24.09.2023 Novara Novara 1-1 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
03.02.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-2 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
07.10.2020 Novara Novara 2-1 HT 2-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
13.10.2019 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-1 HT 2-0 Novara Novara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
0-1
AWAY GIANA Erminio
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Novara vs GIANA Erminio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

GIANA Erminio shaded a tight game against Novara 1-0 on the road.

The model refused to pick a side here (34% / 32% / 34%); GIANA Erminio picked one for it. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 54% to 46% in Novara's favour, shots finished 9-7.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novara had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Novara against 1.33 for GIANA Erminio.

Novara vs GIANA Erminio Result & Final Score

Novara 0-1 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Novara vs GIANA Erminio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Novara 34%, draw 32%, GIANA Erminio 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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