CSKA Sofia 1-0 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.32
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
71%
-2.8pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.5pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 14%
-13% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +1%
2.00/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.80
-1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.08.2025 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-2 HT 2-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
08.02.2025 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
17.08.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
05.12.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BULK
01.12.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
06.08.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-1 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
1-0
AWAY Slavia Sofia
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia edged past Slavia Sofia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 64% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 36%, shots finished 17-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Sofia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CSKA Sofia and 1.00 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?

CSKA Sofia 1-0 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 68%, draw 19%, Slavia Sofia 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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