Golden Arrows 1-0 Stellenbosch FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+6.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-34% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Golden Arrows
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.28 xG 2.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
319 Passes 359
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2025 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 4-3 HT 1-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
03.05.2025 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-3 HT 0-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
18.09.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
01.05.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
16.09.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-0 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
29.04.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 5-2 HT 4-2 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Golden Arrows
1-0
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
1.05 xG 0.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
362 Passes 251
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Golden Arrows edged past Stellenbosch FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Golden Arrows as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Golden Arrows had 56% of the ball to Stellenbosch FC's 44%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 1.05 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stellenbosch FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Golden Arrows and 2.50 for Stellenbosch FC.

What was the final score of Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch FC?

Golden Arrows 1-0 Stellenbosch FC in the South Afrika - Cup on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Golden Arrows win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Golden Arrows 42%, draw 24%, Stellenbosch FC 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Golden Arrows), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Golden Arrows) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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