TS Galaxy 2-0 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
52%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.59
Over 2.5
49%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
52%
Away Win
49%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TS Galaxy EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TS Galaxy
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.94 xG 1.49
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
143 Passes 517
63% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 0-0 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
22.02.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 4-1 HT 3-1 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
11.02.2025 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 1-0 HT 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
21.05.2024 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 1-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
29.04.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 2-0 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
18.10.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 2-2 HT 2-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TS Galaxy
2-0
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.31 xG 1.06
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
169 Passes 419
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 38
15 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TS Galaxy beat Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mamelodi Sundowns at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, TS Galaxy had 33% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 67%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 1.31 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for TS Galaxy and 1.83 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

TS Galaxy 2-0 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Cup on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split TS Galaxy 21%, draw 27%, Mamelodi Sundowns 52%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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