Flint Town United 1-1 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 30% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
2.60/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.53
+66% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Town United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cardiff MU
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 4-1 HT 1-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
30.08.2025 Flint Town United Flint Town United 4-2 HT 2-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
14.12.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-0 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
10.08.2024 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-2 HT 1-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
10.12.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
03.09.2022 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-0 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
POST-MATCH Flint Town United vs Cardiff MU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Town United and Cardiff MU shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Flint Town United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff MU led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Flint Town United and 2.00 for Cardiff MU.

What was the final score of Flint Town United vs Cardiff MU?

Flint Town United 1-1 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Town United vs Cardiff MU?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flint Town United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Flint Town United 45%, draw 24%, Cardiff MU 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Flint Town United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flint Town United) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAL More Wales - Premier League
21 Feb 2026
15:30 Briton Ferry vs Bala Town Analysis →
17:30 Barry Town vs Connahs Quay Analysis →
17:30 Colwyn Bay vs Penybont Analysis →