Barry Town vs Connahs Quay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Barry Town v Connahs Quay — Team-Based Signals
Barry Town vs Connahs Quay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Barry Town 1-0 Connahs Quay — Actual Match Statistics
Barry Town nicked a narrow win over Connahs Quay 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Connahs Quay at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.89, roughly 53%.
By the numbers, Connahs Quay saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 12-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barry Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Barry Town against 1.33 for Connahs Quay.
Barry Town vs Connahs Quay Result & Final Score
Barry Town 1 - 0 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Barry Town vs Connahs Quay Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 26%, draw 29%, Connahs Quay 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Connahs Quay), BTTS Yes went the other way.