Barry Town 1-0 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.08
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.82
Over 2.5
39%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
3.02
2-3 Goals
35%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 38% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
29%
-4.8pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
44%
Away Win
44%
-0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.8pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.24/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.87
+2% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Connahs Quay
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.01.2026 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 3-1 HT 0-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
27.09.2025 Barry Town Barry Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
13.04.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-2 HT 0-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
22.02.2025 Barry Town Barry Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
09.11.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 3-2 HT 1-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
07.09.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-2 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barry Town
1-0
AWAY Connahs Quay
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town nicked a narrow win over Connahs Quay 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Connahs Quay at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Barry Town had 47% of the ball to Connahs Quay's 53%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barry Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barry Town and 1.33 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Connahs Quay?

Barry Town 1-0 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 24%, draw 32%, Connahs Quay 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Connahs Quay) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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