Barry Town 0-0 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
35%
3.45
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
4.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
2.84
6+ Goals
8%
8.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 32% vs market 18.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-2.4pp
35%
Draw
25%
+9.6pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +24%
1.28/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.90
+11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
382 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Connahs Quay
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-2 HT 0-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
22.02.2025 Barry Town Barry Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
09.11.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 3-2 HT 1-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
07.09.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-2 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
02.12.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 7-0 HT 2-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
09.09.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 1-4 HT 1-2 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barry Town
0-0
AWAY Connahs Quay
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town and Connahs Quay fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 35% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Barry Town had 40% of the ball to Connahs Quay's 60%, shots finished 6-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barry Town and 2.67 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Connahs Quay?

Barry Town 0-0 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 29%, draw 35%, Connahs Quay 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Connahs Quay), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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