Briton Ferry 2-1 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.28
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 25% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 27%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.60
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Briton Ferry
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Bala Town
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
07.11.2025 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 2-0 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
19.09.2025 Bala Town Bala Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
28.09.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 2-2 HT 2-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
16.08.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
04.02.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GALWK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Briton Ferry
2-1
AWAY Bala Town
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Briton Ferry vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Briton Ferry squeezed past Bala Town 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Briton Ferry as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Briton Ferry had 66% of the ball to Bala Town's 34%, shots finished 17-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bala Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Briton Ferry and 1.60 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Briton Ferry vs Bala Town?

Briton Ferry 2-1 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Briton Ferry vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Briton Ferry win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Briton Ferry 43%, draw 27%, Bala Town 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Briton Ferry), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Briton Ferry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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